Monday, September 14, 2015

Meteorologists: the next two years will be the world’s hottest – BBC Russian

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Image caption Scientists: 2014, 2015 and 2016 will be the hottest on the planet in time Observing

The British weather service said that the next two years will be the hottest planet.

According to meteorologists, the growth emissions that cause the greenhouse effect, will lead to changes in the climate system sekreznym planet.

This year, the average temperature was above normal indices by 0.68 degrees Celsius.

Scientists also claim that the temperature anomaly El Niño occurs in the Pacific Ocean, and leading to an increase in temperature will have a marked influence on the weather of the planet. While in Europe, this phenomenon will lead to a lowering of the temperature in the summer.

The head of the British meteorological Professor Stephen Belcher said that ordinary natural phenomena, of course, affect the climate, but there is no doubt that the rise in temperature on the planet is connected the greenhouse effect, caused by the high content of harmful gases in the atmosphere.

“If next year will again show an elevated temperature, it becomes obvious that the planet’s climate continues to change,” – he said.

Professor Rowan Sutton of the University of Reading, said that in 2014, 2015 and 2016 will be the hottest on the planet during the observation period.

“It is not a coincidence. We are seeing the cumulative effect of temperature in the oceans and in the atmosphere, which is caused by greenhouse gases, “- said the scientist.

What are the causes of climate change?

Various factors

Scientists say that the increasing amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere and the ongoing changes taking place in the oceans will lead to serious consequences.

Image copyright AP
Image caption The effect of El Niño causes drought, where usually floods, and vice versa

Professor Adam Scaife says that now the world is happening several fundamental changes that can not affect the state of the climate.

The first – El Niño, when the temperature variation of the surface layer water in the equatorial Pacific, causing floods, where droughts are usually, and vice versa. The result was a drought in Southern Africa, East Asia and the Philippines and floods in South America.

In addition, in the northern part of the Pacific Ocean there is an increase in temperature that usually happens once a decade.

At the same time in the North Atlantic there is a decrease in temperature.

Now, scientists are trying to understand how these large changes in temperature regimes in different parts of the world will affect the overall climate picture on the planet.

What will outweigh?

Professor Sutton says that although it is clear how harmful emissions into the atmosphere affect the temperature increase on the planet, it is unclear how it will change the climate, given such a grand phenomenon in the oceans.

At the same time, meteorologists believe that the next decade will be more cool and dry in the summer in Europe – because of the cold weather in the Atlantic. But it will happen if Pacific processes do not affect the Atlantic.

Such cooling, by the way, may help restore the melting of Arctic ice.



Image copyright Science Photo Library
Image caption Scientists believe that the ice cover of the Arctic can recover

Professor Sutton at the same time notes that if the impact of greenhouse gas emissions will continue, the effect of this will be more long term than expected.

“If warming caused by greenhouse gases continues, it will have a lasting impact on the planet and even block the effect of such a relatively short-term phenomena such as, for example, El Niño, “- he said.

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