Staff at ETH (Zurich) and the University of Aarhus (Denmark “reported that the likelihood of recurrence in the next decade the Chernobyl disaster or tragic events at Fukushima is 50 percent.
This is the conclusion reached by scientists all occurred since 1946 incidents and accidents at nuclear power plants, including those about which the IAEA is silent. Computer analysis of these data showed that “50% chance of Fukushima again in the next 50 years, Chernobyl – in the next 27 years and the” Three -Mayl Island “- 10 years».
Currently, the most complete list of IAEA mentioned only about 102 accidents and incidents at nuclear power plants, 72 of which have been ranked by the International Nuclear Event Scale. In the “leaders “For this 8-level scale appear Chernobyl (the largest emission of radiation) and Fukushima (the largest ucherb) – 7 points, the accident at the” Mayak “in 1957 – 6 points, the accident at the nuclear power plant” Three Mile Island “in 1979 – 5 points. However, the IAEA captures the incident at the plant in terms of the radioactive release. Therefore, not all accidents at nuclear power plants are included in this list.
A team led by Spencer Wheatley decided to fill this gap and create your own list of accidents to include any “unintended incident or event on the subject of nuclear energy, which led to one or more of the victims or to losses in the amount of more than 50 thousand dollars at the rate of 2013 “that took place not only at nuclear power plants, but also in the production, transportation and processing of nuclear materials.
In the end, this list has appeared 147 different “nuclear” incidents, and in the top five in addition to Chernobyl and Fukushima appear: the fire at the reactor in Tsuruga Japan in 1995, a fire at the plant for plutonium “Rocky Flats “(USA) and the incident at a nuclear complex” Sellafield “in 1955.
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